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29.09.2025 10:17 AM
EUR/USD. Technical Analysis on September 29, 2025

Trend analysis (Fig. 1).

On Monday, the market from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close) may continue upward with the target at 1.1734 – the 8-period EMA (thin blue line). When testing this line, a move downward is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line). Upon reaching this level, a further move upward is possible with the target at 1.1689 – the historical resistance level (blue dotted line).

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Fig. 1 (daily chart).

Comprehensive analysis:

  • Indicator analysis – down;
  • Fibonacci levels – down;
  • Volumes – down;
  • Candlestick analysis – down;
  • Trend analysis – up;
  • Bollinger Bands – down;
  • Weekly chart – down.

General conclusion: downward trend.

Alternative scenario: from the level of 1.1699 (Friday's daily candle close), the price may start a move downward with the target at 1.1655 – the 50% pullback level (blue dotted line). Upon reaching this level, an upward move is possible with the target at 1.1685 – the 14.6% pullback level (red dotted line).

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