儘管面臨地緣政治風險,歐元仍展現出強勁的韌性,但這並不是孤軍奮戰。歐元的強勢得到油價和股市技術性調整的支持,這一情況與2003年美伊戰爭初期所見的相關性相似。
今早,歐元正鞏固在1.1535水平以上,顯示出向1.1692上漲的準備。然而,如今美聯儲貨幣政策決議即將出台,市場預測語氣會非常溫和,尤其是美國政府債券收益率曲線出現明顯倒掛的背景下,漲勢可能更強,接近於價格通道線附近的1.1820。
馬林振盪器的信號線呈平坦狀態,與價格走勢一致,反映了在美聯儲會議前的觀望情緒。
若歐元跌破MACD線,並試圖下探1.1420的支撐位,則可能引發歐元的深度調整。目前,這被視為一種可選情況。
在四小時圖上,價格仍保持在線性和指標支撐之上。Marlin振盪器已經充分降溫,釋放了之前的壓力,現在顯示出打算從下降趨勢區邊界反轉向上的跡象。
關鍵事件將在明晚發生,根據主要情境,我們預期歐元將繼續上升。
該貨幣對持續橫向整理的價格走勢,交易中無重大變化。 從技術角度來看,若能持續站穩在心理關口145.00以上並且出現明確上升,將確認從多周的交易區間中突破,形成多頭走勢。
澳元已經連續八個交易日穩定在上升價格通道線0.6550附近。Marlin振盪指標則自5月28日以來一直穩定在零線之上。
黃金目前保持日內損失。股市的整體樂觀情緒削弱了黃金的需求。
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