Trend Analysis

In August, the price from the level of 1.1414 (closing of the July monthly candle) may begin to move upward toward the target of 1.1710 – historical resistance level (blue dashed line). From this level, a corrective downward movement may follow, targeting 1.1588 – the 14.6% retracement level (yellow dashed line).

Fig. 1 (Monthly Chart)

Indicator Analysis:

• Indicator-based analysis – upward
• Fibonacci levels – upward
• Volumes – upward
• Candlestick analysis – upward
• Trend analysis – upward
• Bollinger Bands – upward

Conclusion based on comprehensive analysis: a possible upward trend.

General forecast for the EUR/USD monthly candle: The price is likely to follow an upward trend, with no lower shadow on the monthly white candle (first week of the month – bullish) and the presence of an upper shadow (last week of the month – bearish).

Alternative Scenario: From the level of 1.1414 (closing of the July monthly candle), the price may begin an upward movement toward the target of 1.1829 – upper fractal (yellow dashed line). From that level, a downward move toward 1.1710 – historical resistance level (blue dashed line) is possible.