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Forecast for the Coming Days:Sideways movement is expected to continue. Near the projected support zone, there is a high probability of a pause and the formation of conditions for a reversal. An upward price movement is most likely toward the end of the week.
Analysis: Since early February of this year, the direction of price fluctuations in the euro major has followed a bullish wave pattern. Since April 11, a counter-wave has been forming, mostly within a horizontal plane. The bearish segment lacks reversal potential and remains within the bounds of a correction to the last part of the trend. The wave structure resembles a "horizontal pennant."
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USD/JPY
Analysis: Since the beginning of last year, price movements in the yen major have followed a dominant, ongoing bearish wave. Since mid-May, the final segment (C) has been unfolding, forming an intermediate sub-wave. Prices are approaching the lower boundary of the potential reversal zone, which acts as resistance.
Forecast: The upward trend is expected to continue throughout the week until it reaches the projected resistance zone. Toward the weekend, a reversal and renewed decline are possible, but limited to the support boundaries. A sudden spike in volatility may accompany the trend change.
Potential Reversal Zones:
Recommendations:
GBP/JPY
Analysis: In the short term, the ongoing bearish wave for the GBP/JPY pair has been developing since mid-May. Prices are approaching the lower boundary of a broad potential reversal zone on the weekly timeframe. The structure currently shows no signs of completion. No imminent trend change is evident on the chart.
Forecast: A continued upward movement is likely over the next couple of days, reaching the resistance zone. Afterwards, sideways movement near this area may occur, with brief pressure on the upper boundary. A trend reversal could happen by the end of the week. Downward movement will likely be limited by the support zone.
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Analysis: The bearish wave seen over the last four months in the Canadian dollar chart has reached a cluster of potential reversal zones across different timeframes. The current wave structure shows that the middle part (B) remains incomplete and is forming as an extended flat. In recent days, a pullback has been developing as part of the final wave segment.
Forecast:Further decline toward the projected support zone is expected in the coming days. A reversal and upward price movement may follow. The resistance zone marks the upper boundary of the pair's expected weekly volatility.
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NZD/USD
Brief Analysis:The New Zealand dollar remains within a dominant bullish wave since April, forming the basis of a larger uptrend. The current downward segment has been developing since late April and remains within the bounds of internal correction.
Weekly Forecast:The downward trend is likely to continue for a few more days. Near the projected support zone, the price may shift to a sideways trend with conditions forming for a reversal. A return to upward movement is more likely in the second half of the week.
Potential Reversal Zones:
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GOLD (XAU/USD)
Analysis:Since April, gold has mostly moved sideways. The current bearish flat is a correction of the previous bullish trend. Since June 16, the final corrective segment (C) has been forming. Over the past week, prices have been adjusting within this wave.
Forecast:A short-term rise is expected in the coming days, possibly testing the resistance zone. After that, a reversal and renewed decline are likely. Increased volatility is expected closer to the weekend.
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Explanation: In Simplified Wave Analysis (SWA), all waves consist of 3 parts (A-B-C). The analysis on each timeframe focuses on the last, unfinished wave. Dashed lines show projected movements.
Note: The wave algorithm does not account for the duration of instrument movements over time!