XAU/USD – Friday, July 18, 2025.

The potential for XAU/USD to weaken continues, as reflected in The EMA (50) is below the EMA (200) and the RSI (14) is in the Bearish Neutral area.

Key Levels

1. Resistance 2: 3375.63.

2. Resistance 1: 3357.17.

3. Pivot: 3333.21.

4. Support 1: 3314.75.

5. Support 2: 3290.79.

Tactical Scenario

Pressure Prone Zone: If the price breaks down and closes below 3333.21, XAU/USD will continue to weaken to 3314.75.

Momentum Extension Bias: If the 3314.75 level is successfully broken and closes below it, XAU/USD has the potential to continue its weakness to 3290.79.

Level Invalidation / Bias Revision

Downside bias is maintained if XAU/USD breaks through and closes above 3375.63.

Technical Summary

EMA(50): 3336.63.

EMA(200): 3338.38.

RSI(14): 48.82.

Economic News Release Agenda:

With the appreciation of the Dollar Index, still quite strong US economic data, and declining gold demand, XAU/USD has the potential to weaken today.

Today's US economic data releases are scheduled:

Building Permits - 7:30 PM WIB.

Housing Starts - 7:30 PM WIB.

Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment - 9:00 PM WIB.

Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations - 9:00 PM WIB.