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There are no macroeconomic reports scheduled for Tuesday, and on Monday, even significant reports did not provoke any market reaction, let alone the expected movements. Both currency pairs remain "at the bottom" but show no desire to move upward, even within the framework of a correction. Therefore, today, with an effectively absent macroeconomic backdrop, strong trending movements are unlikely—unless Donald Trump throws in another "information bomb."
There are several fundamental events scheduled for Tuesday, but they do not generate much interest. In the morning, Christine Lagarde, the President of the European Central Bank, will make a double appearance; however, the ECB held a meeting just last week, so the market has already received all the necessary information. What new information could Lagarde provide just days after the central bank's meeting? The latest inflation report did not affect the ECB's monetary policy outlook, as the level remains around the target of 2%. Any fluctuations in inflation around this target level hold virtually no significance. The ECB made it clear last week that there are no grounds for lowering or raising the key interest rate in the near future.
During the second trading day of the week, both currency pairs may again trade chaotically and with low volatility. The euro could form new signals around the 1.1527 level, but on Monday, all signals yielded no profit due to low volatility. The British pound could bounce for a third or fourth time from the area of 1.3102-1.3107, allowing consideration of long positions targeting 1.3203.
Important: Significant speeches and reports (always listed in the news calendar) can have a significant impact on the movement of the currency pair. Therefore, during their release, one should trade with maximum caution or exit the market to avoid sudden price reversals against the preceding movement.
Beginners trading in the Forex market should remember that not every trade can be profitable. Developing a clear strategy and practicing money management are key to long-term success in trading.